Rain Returns, but so do Strong Storms
Your Monday will start off partly to mostly cloudy with winds already picking up out of the south-southeast at 10-20 MPH range for most of South/Central Alabama. Afternoon highs will make it mostly into the 70s. A few scattered showers could develop during the late morning hours and afternoon hours until the main line moves into the extreme western parts of the state this evening.
TONIGHT: Rain and storms will be likely tonight and some of those storms could be strong to locally severe. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall will be possible. Stay weather aware tonight.
ROUND 2 OF STORMS: For most of the daytime on Tuesday, we should have a decent break from the rain, even though I can’t rule out a chance of a stray shower or thunderstorm. Afternoon highs will make it up into the mid to upper 70s, with a few spots touching 80 degrees. Action will start to pick up once again on Tuesday night through the afternoon hours on Wednesday. The latest run of the NAM-4km is showing some pretty impressive numbers on the supercell composite model, especially in the western and northwestern counties of the state. Significant tornado parameter numbers are in the 3 to 4 range in those same areas, so damaging straight line winds and a tornado or two are definitely possible. Once we get tonight’s squall line through the area, we’ll have a better idea of what to expect for Tuesday night’s round.
BENEFICIAL RAINS: The latest model output of rainfall totals off the GFS is showing much of Alabama could receive 1-4 inches of rainfall between today and the end of the storms on Wednesday.
Showers and storms will be likely during the daytime hours on Wednesday, but those chances will start to drop as the evening hours move in for Central Alabama. All rain should be out of the area by the time daybreak arrives on Thursday morning. Afternoon highs on Wednesday will be in the mid 70s. The sky will become partly cloudy for the overnight hours, and lows will dip down into the 30s and 40s.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY: The sky will be mostly clear to start off with on Thursday, becoming clear for the late afternoon hours all the way through the late afternoon hours on Friday, before a few stray clouds move across for Friday night. Highs will mostly be in the 50s with a few 60s in the southern parts of the area, with lows in the 30s. A few colder spots will drop down into the 20s.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Clouds will start to move in for the weekend, and with more clouds, another chance of rain for the area. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy on Saturday, with rain chances starting to increase during the early morning hours on Sunday and lasting through the remainder of the day. Right now, chances look best for areas south of I-20, but rain is possible throughout all of Central Alabama. Temperatures will be cooler as well, with highs in the 50s for Saturday and Sunday.
Have a great day!
Ryan
