Sunny, Dry, Hot Weather Pattern

RIDGE IN PLACE: Heading back to work today and the rest of the week, expect generally dry weather for much of Alabama with temperatures above average. Many of us will see highs in the mid 90s today with a good supply of sunshine, and then upper 90s are likely Wednesday. Average high for Montgomery this time of year is 90°, so temperatures are well above average, but at least humidity levels are not that bad with the drier air mixing down everyday. More of the same for Thursday and Friday with highs in the mid to upper 90s, with mainly sunny conditions. Chance of rain remains very low, so we won’t mention it in the forecast. We do note nights will be clear and nice this week, with many spots in those soothing 60s, with the slightest hint of fall in the air, especially very early in the mornings.

THE HEADACHE HERMINE: The the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 71.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 8 mph. A decrease in forward speed is expected later today, and Hermine will likely become nearly stationary by tonight. A turn toward the northeast is forecast to occur on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. The Montauk Point buoy south of eastern Long Island recently reported a 38-mph sustained wind and a gust to 47 mph. The buoy south of Islip in Long Island recently reported a 36-mph sustained wind and a gust to 45 mph.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS: A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land
areas. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph across the Caribbean Sea during the next few days with little development expected. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for some development when the wave approaches the Yucatan peninsula late this week. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds could occur over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola during the next day or two. Also, a low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is expected to form several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands late this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system after that time while it moves west-northwestward into the central tropical Atlantic.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Rain chances begin to increase as our moisture levels rise a bit, and the upper high weakens slightly. For Saturday and Sunday we will introduce the chance of widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, with a mix of sun and clouds both days. Highs will be in the lower 90s.

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Have a terrific Tuesday!
Ryan

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